Tuesday, 12 November 2013

Market Commentary



Ø  December gold closed lower on Friday as it extends this week's decline. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Monday's night session begins trading. If December extends the decline off October's high, October's low crossing at 1251.00 is the next downside target. Stochastics and the RSI are bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices is possible near-term. Closes above the 10-day moving average crossing at 1322.00 would confirm that a short-term low has been posted. First resistance is October's high crossing at 1361.80. Second resistance is the reaction high crossing at 1375.40. First support is today's low crossing at 1280.50. Second resistance is October's low crossing at 1251.00.

Ø  December silver closed lower on Friday as it extends the decline off October's high. The low-range close set the stage for a steady to lower opening when Monday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If December extends the decline off October's high, October's low crossing at 20.495 is the next downside target. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at 22.042 would confirm that a short-term low has been posted. First resistance is the 20-day moving average crossing at 22.042. Second resistance is last Wednesday's high crossing at 23.095. First support is today's low crossing at 21.250. Second support is October's low crossing at 20.495.

 Technical levels for 11th Nov, 2013

Metal
Support  ($/oz)
Resistance ($/oz)
Gold
1,269.46
1,312.75
Silver
21.063
21.804

Economic Calendar:
Date
Economic Indicator
Country
Actual
Forecast
Previous
Effect & Remarks
11th Nov
German Buba President Weidmann Speaks
US
Pending At 10:30pm
NA
NA
Due to deliver a speech titled "The euro area between personal responsibility and community responsibility. Switzerland as a hint?," in Basel
8th Nov
Non-Farm Employment Change
US
204K
121K
148K
As Actual > Forecast = Good for currency. Change in the number of employed people during the previous month, excluding the farming industry has increased.
8th Nov
Unemployment Rate
US
7.3%
7.3%
7.2%
As Actual = Forecast = No impact for currency. Percentage of the total work force that is unemployed and actively seeking employment during the previous month
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