Monday, 23 January 2012

Market Commentary



Ø Gold opened on its intraday low of 1647.25/1648.25. Short covering on the start of the Chinese New Year had gold steadily gain throughout the session. Reaching an intraday high of 1666/1667 mid day, gold then rested before giving up small to close the week at 1663.75/1664.75.
Ø Silver opened a little lower at 30.46/30.51 and quickly reached its S&P 500intraday low of 30.40/30.45 soon after. Defying drops in base metals and crude, strong silver buying took the metal to close on its intraday high of 31.71/31.76.
Technical Commentary:
Ø Today marks the close of gold's third consecutive up week and a rally of 10% since its December 29th low of $1522.65. Near term technical’s have turned more bullish, with the MACD having generated a buy signal on January 3rd, and the 9-day moving average having crossed above the 21-day on January 10th. A break above $1667 would be bullish, with psychological resistance looming at $1,700.
Ø Silver has broken a key technical level of resistance at 30.71, the November 2011 low, having gained 1.35 to 31.98 as we approach the North American close. Support continues to be seen at the 9 day MA (30.35), with resistance expected at the 100 day MA (32.68), though some technicals suggest that current levels are overbought. The downward trend in the gold silver ratio has continued and now stands at 51.97 with a downside target of 49.7, the late October 2011 low.
Technical levels for 23th Jan, 2012:
Metal
Support ($/oz)
Resistance ($/oz)
Gold
1,650.18
1,679.85
Silver
30.950
32.755
Economic Calendar:
Date
Economic Indicator
Country
Actual
Forecast
Previous
Effect & Remarks
20th Jan
Existing Home Sales
USD
4.61
4.65
4.42
As Actual < Forecast = Not Good for currency. Annualized number of residential buildings that were sold during the previous month, excluding new construction has Decreased.

Disclaimer:

This report contains the opinion of the author, which is not to be construed as investment advices. The author, Directors, other employees of RiddiSiddhi Bullions Ltd. and its affiliates cannot be held responsible for the accuracy of the information presented herein or for the results of the positions taken based on the opinions expressed above. The above-mentioned opinions are based on the information, which is believed to be accurate, and no assurance can be given for the accuracy of the information. The author, directors and other employees and any affiliates of RSBL cannot be held responsible for any losses in trading. In no event should the content of this research report be construed as an express or an implied promise, guarantee or implication by or from RSBL that the reader or client will profit or the losses can or will be limited in any manner whatsoever. Past results are no indications of future performance. Information provided in this report is intended solely for informative purposes and is obtained from sources believed to be reliable. The information contained in this report is no way guaranteed. No guarantee of any kind is implied or possible where projections of future conditions are attempted. We do not offer any sort of portfolio advisory, portfolio management or investment advisory services. The reports are only for information purpose and are not to be construed as investment advices.

No comments:

Post a Comment