Tuesday, 24 January 2012

Market Commentary


Ø Gold opened higher at 1674.50/1675.50. Light profit taking ahead of equities opening took the metal to its intraday low of 1666.25/1667.25. Gains in equities coupled with declines in the dollar, saw renewed buying interest in the metal, taking gold to its intraday high of 1681/1682 mid session. Gold quietly ended the session at 1677/1678.
Ø Silver opened higher at 32.39/32.44. Like gold, profit taking in the metal took it to its intraday low of 31.91/31.96 early morning. Strong gains in base metals and crude reversed silver’s decline as steady bids took the metal to its intraday high of 32.72/32.77 mid session. Late session profit taking brought silver to its close at 32.29/32.34.
Technical Commentary:
Ø Gold closed higher again today at 1677, after Friday's strong close. Key support sits at the 200-day moving average, currently at 1643. Gold has managed to close above the 200-dma for the past 5 sessions. Resistance sits at 1700, where we saw good support in November to early December.
Ø Silver closed slightly higher today at 32.29/34 after its big rally on Friday. Key support sits at 29.12, the 50% Fibonacci retracement of the 2008 to 2011 rally and resistance at 34.00, the 38.2% Fibonacci level. The Gold-Silver ratio closed at 51.90 and is targeting a move back to 50.00.
Technical levels for 24th Jan, 2012:
Metal
Support ($/oz)
Resistance ($/oz)
Gold
1,665.97
1,684.79
Silver
31.807
32.784
Economic Calendar:
Date
Economic Indicator
Country
Actual
Forecast
Previous
Effect & Remarks
24th Jan
French Flash Manufacturing PMI
EUR
Pending at 1:30pm
49.2
48.9
If Actual > Forecast = Good for currency. Level of a diffusion index based on surveyed purchasing managers in the manufacturing industry.
24th Jan
German Flash Services PMI
EUR
Pending at 2:00pm
52.6
52.4
If Actual > Forecast = Good for currency. Level of a diffusion index based on surveyed purchasing managers in the services industry.

Disclaimer:

This report contains the opinion of the author, which is not to be construed as investment advices. The author, Directors, other employees of RiddiSiddhi Bullions Ltd. and its affiliates cannot be held responsible for the accuracy of the information presented herein or for the results of the positions taken based on the opinions expressed above. The above-mentioned opinions are based on the information, which is believed to be accurate, and no assurance can be given for the accuracy of the information. The author, directors and other employees and any affiliates of RSBL cannot be held responsible for any losses in trading. In no event should the content of this research report be construed as an express or an implied promise, guarantee or implication by or from RSBL that the reader or client will profit or the losses can or will be limited in any manner whatsoever. Past results are no indications of future performance. Information provided in this report is intended solely for informative purposes and is obtained from sources believed to be reliable. The information contained in this report is no way guaranteed. No guarantee of any kind is implied or possible where projections of future conditions are attempted. We do not offer any sort of portfolio advisory, portfolio management or investment advisory services. The reports are only for information purpose and are not to be construed as investment advices.

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