Ø
Gold opened
higher at 1780.25/1781.25. Tracking equities, gold reached an intraday low of
1776/1777 just after the P.M. fix. A rally in equities coupled with declines in
the dollar saw gold recover to eventually reach an intraday high of
1790.50/1791.50 mid day. Light profit taking then took the metal to its close at
1786.50/1787.50.
Ø
Stronger base
metals overnight saw silver open higher at 36.13/36.18. Tracking equities
initial decline on their open, silver reached an intraday low of 35.93/35.98.
Strong consumer confidence levels however, reversed these declines taking silver
to its intraday high of 37.20/37.25 late in the session. The metal closed the
day soon after at 37.12/37.17
Technical Commentary:
Ø Gold closed higher at 1786/87
today. There is support at 1749 from last Wednesday’s low and resistance at 1800
from the original uptrend, which was breached to the downside on Feb 10th and is
now acting as resistance. RSI is trading higher, confirming the
uptrend.
Ø Silver had a huge up-day today,
closing at 37.12/17. Having definitively cleared the 50% Fibonacci retracement
of the August to December downtrend at 35.16, there is a new Fibonacci level
that comes into play. The 61.8% Fibonacci level comes in at 37.30 and should
provide some resistance. The next target is 39.78, the September 2011 high. RSI
has moved deeper into overbought territory at 78.46 but continues to confirm the
uptrend. Note that RSI extended to 88.90 at its peak in April 2011 before silver collapsed. The Gold-Silver
ratio collapsed, closing at 48.2, its 4th consecutive down-day. The target on
this move is 44.82, the September 22nd low, for a full retracement of the 44.82
o 60.43 up-move.
Technical levels for 28th Feb,
2012:
Metal
|
Support
($/oz)
|
Resistance
($/oz)
|
Gold
|
1,770.80
|
1,794.31
|
Silver
|
35.797
|
37.735
|
Economic
Calendar:
Date
|
Economic
Indicator
|
Country
|
Actual
|
Forecast
|
Previous
|
Effect
& Remarks
|
29th
Feb
|
Prelim GDP
q/q
|
USD
|
Pending at
7:00pm
|
2.8%
|
2.8%
|
If Actual > Forecast = Good for currency. Annualized change in
the value of all goods and services produced by the
economy.
|
28th
Feb
|
Core
Durable Goods Orders m/m
|
USD
|
-3.2%
|
0.0%
|
2.2%
|
As Actual < Forecast =Not Good for currency. Change in the total
value of new purchase orders placed with manufacturers for durable goods,
excluding transportation items has
Decreased.
|
28th
Feb
|
CB Consumer
Confidence
|
USD
|
70.8
|
63.1
|
61.1
|
As Actual > Forecast = Good for currency. Level of a composite
index based on surveyed households has
Increased.
|
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