Ø Greater optimism over the Greek
crisis had gold open higher at 1778.25/1779.25. An initial spurt upwards on good
jobs data was erased as equities opened lower. Gold reached an intraday low of
1772.50/1773.50 early morning but quickly reversed its slide as equities rallied
back higher and the dollar declined. Eventually reaching its intraday high of
1787.50/1788.50 late in the session, the metal then closed the day at
1784.25/1785.25.
Ø
Silver opened
higher at 34.63/34.68 and quickly dipped to its intraday low of 34.55/34.60.
Tracking crude, silver shrugged off the dip and steadily gained throughout the
session to close on its intraday high of 35.56/35.61.
Technical Commentary:
Ø Gold continued its rise today,
closing higher at 1785 right around our initial resistance level. This is the
4th up-day for gold and we believe that once it clears 1785 on a more
substantive basis, this level will start to act as support. There is support
below from our fan line, currently at 1758. The next target is 1803, the
November high.
Ø Silver had a big up-day today after
its relative underperformance yesterday, closing higher at 35.61. Silver has
finally broken out of its sideways range, the RSI is confirming (although has
moved into overbought at 72.00) and the MACD has generated a buy signal. We have
also cleared the previous resistance at 35.16, which is the 50% Fibonacci
retracement of the August to December downtrend and this level should now start
to act as support. There is key support around 33.60 from the trendline off the
December low. We are bullish so long as we remain above the trendline. The next
target is 35.68, the October high. The Gold-Silver ratio closed sharply down at
50.22, breaching support levels in the 51.00 area. The risk is a move to the
October low in the 48.80 area.
Technical levels for 24th Feb,
2012:
Metal
|
Support
($/oz)
|
Resistance
($/oz)
|
Gold
|
1,774.26
|
1,789.65
|
Silver
|
34.619
|
36.007
|
Economic
Calendar:
Date
|
Economic
Indicator
|
Country
|
Actual
|
Forecast
|
Previous
|
Effect
& Remarks
|
24th
Feb
|
New Home
Sales
|
USD
|
Pending at
8:30pm
|
316
|
307
|
If Actual > Forecast = Good for currency. Annualized number of
new single-family homes that were sold during the previous
month.
|
23th
Feb
|
Unemployment Claims
|
USD
|
351
|
352
|
348
|
As Actual
< Forecast = Good for currency. The number of
individuals who filed for unemployment insurance for the first time during the
past week has
Decreased.
|
Disclaimer:
This
report contains the opinion of the author, which is not to be construed as
investment advices. The author, Directors, other employees of RiddiSiddhi
Bullions Ltd. and its affiliates cannot be held responsible for the accuracy of
the information presented herein or for the results of the positions taken based
on the opinions expressed above. The above-mentioned opinions are based on the
information, which is believed to be accurate, and no assurance can be given for
the accuracy of the information. The author, directors and other employees and
any affiliates of RSBL cannot be held responsible for any losses in trading. In
no event should the content of this research report be construed as an express
or an implied promise, guarantee or implication by or from RSBL that the reader
or client will profit or the losses can or will be limited in any manner
whatsoever. Past results are no indications of future performance. Information
provided in this report is intended solely for informative purposes and is
obtained from sources believed to be reliable. The information contained in this
report is no way guaranteed. No guarantee of any kind is implied or possible
where projections of future conditions are attempted. We do not offer any sort
of portfolio advisory, portfolio management or investment advisory services. The
reports are only for information purpose and are not to be construed as
investment advices.
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