Ø
With investors
willing to take on more risk after positive global manufacturing data overnight,
gold opened higher at 1745.75/1746.75. It was however, a quiet range bound
session with the metal reaching an intraday low of 1739.25/1740.25 mid morning
and an intraday high of 1750/1751 mid day. As investors await the out come of
this week’s job numbers, gold quietly closed the day almost unchanged at
1745.25/1746.25.
Ø
Higher base
metals and crude prices overnight saw silver open higher at 33.82/33.87. Dipping
to an intraday low of 33.53/33.58, silver then quickly recovered on positive
U.S. manufacturing data to eventually reach an intraday high of 33.98/34.03mid
morning. Silver closed the session in quiet range bound trading afterwards at
33.77/33.82.
Technical Commentary:
Ø Spot gold closed higher today at 1745/46. RSI
remains at overbought levels, currently at 71.26; however, has not yet reached
extreme overbought levels and thus it is too early to call a pullback.
Resistance is at 1756, the December 8th high, followed by 1800. Key support sits
at 1696, the 61.8% retracement of the November-December
downtrend.
Ø Silver also closed higher, at
33.77/82. For the past 5 trading sessions, silver has been trading sideways in a
range between 33.00 and 34.00. The resistance level at 34.00 represents the
38.2% Fibonacci retracement of the 2008 to 2011 uptrend. The next resistance is
at 34.63, the November 16th high. The Gold-Silver ratio continues to trade
sideways, closing at 51.6.
Technical levels for 2nd Feb,
2012:
Metal
|
Support
($/oz)
|
Resistance
($/oz)
|
Gold
|
1,735.28
|
1,754.70
|
Silver
|
33.227
|
34.239
|
Economic
Calendar:
Date
|
Economic
Indicator
|
Country
|
Actual
|
Forecast
|
Previous
|
Effect
& Remarks
|
2nd
Feb
|
Unemployment Claims
|
USD
|
Pending at 7:00pm
|
373
|
377
|
If Actual <
Forecast = Good for currency. The number of individuals who filed for
unemployment insurance for the first time during the past week.
|
1st
Feb
|
ADP
Non-Farm Employment Change
|
USD
|
170
|
189
|
325
|
As Actual <
Forecast =Not Good for currency. Estimated change in
the number of employed people during the previous month, excluding the farming
industry and government has Decreased.
|
1st
Feb
|
ISM
Manufacturing PMI
|
USD
|
54.1
|
54.6
|
53.9
|
As Actual <
Forecast =Not Good for currency. Level of a diffusion index based on surveyed
purchasing managers in the manufacturing industry has Decreased.
|
Disclaimer:
This
report contains the opinion of the author, which is not to be construed as
investment advices. The author, Directors, other employees of RiddiSiddhi
Bullions Ltd. and its affiliates cannot be held responsible for the accuracy of
the information presented herein or for the results of the positions taken based
on the opinions expressed above. The above-mentioned opinions are based on the
information, which is believed to be accurate, and no assurance can be given for
the accuracy of the information. The author, directors and other employees and
any affiliates of RSBL cannot be held responsible for any losses in trading. In
no event should the content of this research report be construed as an express
or an implied promise, guarantee or implication by or from RSBL that the reader
or client will profit or the losses can or will be limited in any manner
whatsoever. Past results are no indications of future performance. Information
provided in this report is intended solely for informative purposes and is
obtained from sources believed to be reliable. The information contained in this
report is no way guaranteed. No guarantee of any kind is implied or possible
where projections of future conditions are attempted. We do not offer any sort
of portfolio advisory, portfolio management or investment advisory services. The
reports are only for information purpose and are not to be construed as
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