Ø
Overnight
investor anxiety over the global economy sent the dollar higher and gold lower,
opening on its intraday high of 1684/1685. The metal saw steady but orderly
selling early on but then collapsed to its
intraday low of 1663/1664 just ahead of strong declines in the opening of
equity markets. The metal recovered a little to close the day at
1670.75/1671.75.
Ø
Strong
overnight declines in commodities saw silver open lower at 33.12/33.17. Initial
gains to its intraday high of 33.25/33.30 were erased as silver took its cue
from gold and fell to its intraday low of 32.45/32.50 by mid day. Late session
buying managed to give a small boost to the metal, taking it to its close at
32.77/32.82.
Technical Commentary:
Ø Gold is closing lower again at
current 1673. The metal broke key support 1693 this morning triggering fresh
liquidation down to 1665. We see initial
support at 1656, the 50% of our last up move. Risk remains for a deeper
correction to 1625 the 61.8% Fibo. The $100 drop last week off 1790 was the
warning flag for a bearish turn in Gold. Big picture, the 3.5 year bullish trend
line is now seen at 1591. We expect sellers now on any move back to
1700.
Ø Silver has fallen to current 32.77.
We are nearly $5 lower than last Thursday’s 37.46 high. A close below the
February low of 32.69 will bring in fresh selling of the metal. We see 31.83 and
30.50 as the 50% and 61.8% Fibo supports from the 26.20 to 37.46 up move. We
expect sellers of Silver now at 33.16. The Gold Silver ratio has moved higher
today to 51.05. The February high of 51.81 offers initial
resistance. ratio has
moved up from 48.26 over the past 5 trading
sessions.
Technical levels for 7th Mar,
2012:
Metal
|
Support
($/oz)
|
Resistance
($/oz)
|
Gold
|
1,653.06
|
1,706.64
|
Silver
|
31.945
|
34.385
|
Economic
Calendar:
Date
|
Economic
Indicator
|
Country
|
Actual
|
Forecast
|
Previous
|
Effect
& Remarks
|
7th Mar
|
ADP
Non-Farm Employment Change
|
USD
|
Pending
at
6:45pm
|
204
|
170
|
If Actual > Forecast = Good for currency. Estimated change in
the number of employed people during the previous month, excluding the farming
industry and
government.
|
Disclaimer:
This
report contains the opinion of the author, which is not to be construed as
investment advices. The author, Directors, other employees of RiddiSiddhi
Bullions Ltd. and its affiliates cannot be held responsible for the accuracy of
the information presented herein or for the results of the positions taken based
on the opinions expressed above. The above-mentioned opinions are based on the
information, which is believed to be accurate, and no assurance can be given for
the accuracy of the information. The author, directors and other employees and
any affiliates of RSBL cannot be held responsible for any losses in trading. In
no event should the content of this research report be construed as an express
or an implied promise, guarantee or implication by or from RSBL that the reader
or client will profit or the losses can or will be limited in any manner
whatsoever. Past results are no indications of future performance. Information
provided in this report is intended solely for informative purposes and is
obtained from sources believed to be reliable. The information contained in this
report is no way guaranteed. No guarantee of any kind is implied or possible
where projections of future conditions are attempted. We do not offer any sort
of portfolio advisory, portfolio management or investment advisory services. The
reports are only for information purpose and are not to be construed as
investment advices.
Ø
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