Ø Overnight gains in the dollar saw
gold open lower at 1641.50/1642.50 with it reaching its intraday low of
1640/1641 soon after. Strong buying as the EUR rallied took the metal to its
intraday high of 1662/1663 justafter the P.M. fix. Light profit taking saw gold
close the week at 1655.50/1656.50.
Ø
Silver opened
lower at 32.17/32.22 and reached its intraday low of 32.14/32.19 soon after.
Tracking gains in base metals and crude, silver reached its intraday high of
32.70/32.75 mid morning. Light profit taking took the metal to its close of
32.55/32.60.
Technical Commentary
Ø Gold had a bearish close to the
week at 1656. There is key support on the weekly chart from the long term
uptrend, currently around 1581. Key resistance is around 1790, around the highs
from late February and early March. On the daily chart, the next major support
is at 1625, the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the December to February
uptrend.
Ø Silver also closed the week lower,
at 32.60. Key support on the weekly chart is at 29.12, the 50% retracement of
the long term uptrend. Support on the daily chart is at 31.82, the 50% Fibonacci
retracement of the rally from December through February. The broken support
level at 33.00 now acts as resistance. The Gold-Silver ratio is closing the week
higher at 50.8, targeting resistance at the February high around
51.9.
Technical levels for 19th Mar, 2012:
Metal
|
Support
($/oz)
|
Resistance
($/oz)
|
Gold
|
1,642.58
|
1,669.80
|
Silver
|
32.123
|
33.226
|
Economic
Calendar:
Date
|
Economic
Indicator
|
Country
|
Actual
|
Forecast
|
Previous
|
Effect
& Remarks
|
19th Mar
|
Current
Account
|
EUR
|
Pending at
6:00pm
|
3.3
|
2.0
|
If Actual > Forecast = Good for currency. Difference in value
between imported and exported goods, services, income flows, and unilateral
transfers during the previous month.
|
16th Mar
|
Core CPI
m/m
|
USD
|
0.1%
|
0.2%
|
0.2%
|
As Actual < Forecast =Not Good for currency. Change in the price
of goods and services purchased by consumers, excluding food and energy has
Decreased.
|
16th Mar
|
Prelim UoM
Consumer Sentiment
|
USD
|
74.3
|
75.8
|
75.3
|
As Actual < Forecast =Not Good for currency. Level of a
composite index based on surveyed consumers has
Decreased.
|
Disclaimer:
This
report contains the opinion of the author, which is not to be construed as
investment advices. The author, Directors, other employees of RiddiSiddhi
Bullions Ltd. and its affiliates cannot be held responsible for the accuracy of
the information presented herein or for the results of the positions taken based
on the opinions expressed above. The above-mentioned opinions are based on the
information, which is believed to be accurate, and no assurance can be given for
the accuracy of the information. The author, directors and other employees and
any affiliates of RSBL cannot be held responsible for any losses in trading. In
no event should the content of this research report be construed as an express
or an implied promise, guarantee or implication by or from RSBL that the reader
or client will profit or the losses can or will be limited in any manner
whatsoever. Past results are no indications of future performance. Information
provided in this report is intended solely for informative purposes and is
obtained from sources believed to be reliable. The information contained in this
report is no way guaranteed. No guarantee of any kind is implied or possible
where projections of future conditions are attempted. We do not offer any sort
of portfolio advisory, portfolio management or investment advisory services. The
reports are only for information purpose and are not to be construed as
investment advices.
Ø
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