Ø Commodities rallied from positive
manufacturing data from both the US and China. Gold opened on its intraday low
of 1665/1666. Continuing to gain from strong buying, gold eventually reached an
intraday high of1683.50/1684.50 mid session. Light profit taking then took the
metal to its close at 1678/1679.
Ø
Silver opened small lower at 32.41/32.46 and
dipped quickly to an intraday low of 32.38/32.43. The metal gained throughout
the morningalongside strong rallies in base metals and crude, to eventually
reach an intraday high of 33.23/33.28 mid day. Light late session profit taking
took silver to its close of 33.08/33.13.
Technical Commentary
Ø Gold traded up through resistance today on an
intraday basis, but was unable to hold significantly above the downtrend line
off the Februaryhigh, which came in around 1677 today. Gold closed near
unchanged on the day at 1678. The next resistance is at last week’s high around
1697, followed by the March 12th high at 1716 which we see as a pivot. A break
above 1716 would be bullish; failing that, gold remains in asideways trend with
support at 1628 (the March 22 low).
Ø Silver had a big day today, closing
at 33.08 and triggering a buy signal in MACD. Nevertheless, we have failed to
clear resistance at 33.15 on a closing basis and we would prefer to see a clear
break above this level to confirm we are out of the sideways trend in silver. A
break above the March 12th high of 34.41 would be pivotal and would bring in
more buyers. Support is at 31.11, the low from March 22. The Gold-Silver ratio
is trading lower at 50.77. Support is at 49.85, where the ratio broke out of its
two-month bear channel on March 14th.
Technical levels for 3rd April, 2012:
Metal
|
Support
($/oz)
|
Resistance
($/oz)
|
Gold
|
1,667.45
|
1,687.88
|
Silver
|
32.552
|
33.537
|
Economic
Calendar:
Date
|
Economic
Indicator
|
Country
|
Actual
|
Forecast
|
Previous
|
Effect
& Remarks
|
3rd
April
|
Factory Orders
m/m
|
USD
|
Pending at
10:00am
|
1.5%
|
-1.0%
|
If Actual > Forecast = Good for currency. Change in the total
value of new purchase orders placed with
manufacturers.
|
2nd
April
|
ISM
Manufacturing PMI
|
USD
|
53.4
|
53.3
|
52.4
|
As Actual > Forecast = Good for currency. Level of a diffusion
index based on surveyed purchasing managers in the manufacturing industry has
increased.
|
Disclaimer:
This
report contains the opinion of the author, which is not to be construed as
investment advices. The author, Directors, other employees of RiddiSiddhi
Bullions Ltd. and its affiliates cannot be held responsible for the accuracy of
the information presented herein or for the results of the positions taken based
on the opinions expressed above. The above-mentioned opinions are based on the
information, which is believed to be accurate, and no assurance can be given for
the accuracy of the information. The author, directors and other employees and
any affiliates of RSBL cannot be held responsible for any losses in trading. In
no event should the content of this research report be construed as an express
or an implied promise, guarantee or implication by or from RSBL that the reader
or client will profit or the losses can or will be limited in any manner
whatsoever. Past results are no indications of future performance. Information
provided in this report is intended solely for informative purposes and is
obtained from sources believed to be reliable. The information contained in this
report is no way guaranteed. No guarantee of any kind is implied or possible
where projections of future conditions are attempted. We do not offer any sort
of portfolio advisory, portfolio management or investment advisory services. The
reports are only for information purpose and are not to be construed as
investment advices.
Ø
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