Ø Gold opened unchanged at
1642.25/1643.25 in anticipation of the FOMC meeting. Gaining slightly to an
intraday high of 1644.50/1645.50, the metal relaxed until release of the FOMC
comments and rate decision. With rates remaining unchanged and comments
indicating a refrain from additional stimulus, gold quickly began to sell off
eventually reaching an intraday low of 1624.25/1625.25 mid day. As quickly as it
dropped, gold recovered on renewed buying, closing the session almost unchanged
at 1641/1642.
Ø Silver opened a little higher at
30.86/30.91. Reaching its intraday high of 30.97/31.02 early morning, silver
then began to slowly decline and then rapidly sold off to an intraday low of
29.94/29.99 after the comments. Like gold, a late session rally took the metal
to its close at 30.39/30.44.
Technical
Commentary
Ø Gold is showing unchanged today at
1642. The metal is stuck within our April range of 1613 to 1683. Only a move out
side of these parameters will inspire a bigger directional play. The 3.5 year
trend line support is seen at 1627 on the weekly chart. A close below this level
on Friday will bring in liquidation selling of stale Long Gold
positions.
Ø Silver probed to fresh multi month lows to 30.00 before
recovering to current 30.63. We are bearish Silver following the break of huge
support pivot 31.00. Our target for Silver is 28.86, the 76.4% retracement of
the 26.20 to 37.46 up move. The Gold Silver ratio spiked higher to 54.20 before
retracing to current 53.63. The ratio is bid with potential for 100% retracement
to 57.50.
Technical levels for 26th April,
2012:
Metal
|
Support
($/oz)
|
Resistance
($/oz)
|
Gold
|
1 ,629.32
|
1 ,655.51
|
Silver
|
30.023
|
31.173
|
Economic
Calendar:
Date
|
Economic
Indicator
|
Country
|
Actual
|
Forecast
|
Previous
|
Effect
& Remarks
| ||||
26th April
|
Unemployment
Claims
|
US
|
Pending at 6:00pm
|
374K
|
386K
|
If Actual
< Forecast = Good for currency. The number of individuals who filed for
unemployment insurance for the first time during the past
week.
| ||||
26th April
|
Pending Home
Sales m/m
|
US
|
Pending at 7:30pm
|
1.2%
|
-0.5%
|
If Actual
> Forecast = Good for currency. Change in the number of homes under contract
to be sold but still awaiting the closing transaction, excluding new
construction.
| ||||
25th April
|
Core Durable
Goods Orders m/m
|
US
|
-1.1%
|
0.6%
|
1.8%
|
As Actual > Forecast = Good
for US Currency.
Change in the total
value of new purchase orders placed with manufacturers for durable goods,
excluding transportation items.
| ||||
25th April
|
FOMC Statement, FOMC Economic
Projections,
FOMC Press
Conference
|
US
|
Na
|
Na
|
Bernanke says
Fed prepared to do more for economy but for more
hawkish. Additional balance sheet excel could be taken if required.
| |||||
This
report contains the opinion of the author, which is not to be construed as
investment advices. The author, Directors, other employees of RiddiSiddhi
Bullions Ltd. and its affiliates cannot be held responsible for the accuracy of
the information presented herein or for the results of the positions taken based
on the opinions expressed above. The above-mentioned opinions are based on the
information, which is believed to be accurate, and no assurance can be given for
the accuracy of the information. The author, directors and other employees and
any affiliates of RSBL cannot be held responsible for any losses in trading. In
no event should the content of this research report be construed as an express
or an implied promise, guarantee or implication by or from RSBL that the reader
or client will profit or the losses can or will be limited in any manner
whatsoever. Past results are no indications of future performance. Information
provided in this report is intended solely for informative purposes and is
obtained from sources believed to be reliable. The information contained in this
report is no way guaranteed. No guarantee of any kind is implied or possible
where projections of future conditions are attempted. We do not offer any sort
of portfolio advisory, portfolio management or investment advisory services. The
reports are only for information purpose and are not to be construed as
investment advices.
Ø
No comments:
Post a Comment