Ø Gold opened almost unchanged at 1562.50/1563.50 with it gaining
quickly after to an intraday high of 1564.25/1565.25. Slowing growth out of
china and slower retail sales in the U.S. stifled gold’s gains. Further pressure
from the inability of Greece to form a government pushed the metal to an
intraday low of 1550/1551 midmorning. Renewed buying interest, alongside gains
in equities, had gold recover a little to close the day at
1557.50/1558.50.
Ø Silver also opened flat at 28.37/28.42. A quick gain to its
intraday high of 28.41/28.46 was erased as declines in base metals pressed the
metal lower. Reaching an intraday low of 27.95/28.00 midmorning, silver found
renewed buying interest to take it to its close at
28.06/28.11.
Technical
Commentary
Ø Gold continued its steep descent today, closing at 1557. The next
target is a full retracement to the December 2011 low of 1522 and there are no
strong levels of support ahead of that level. Resistance is from the bottom of
the bear channel that was previously acting as support, currently at
1580.
Ø Silver also closed down at 28.06. The next target is the bottom of
the bear channel, currently at 27.18. Resistance is at 28.83, the 76.4%
Fibonacci retracement of the December to February rally. The Gold-Silver ratio
is trading higher at 55.68, which is right where the 76.4% Fibonacci resistance
level is. The next target will be a full retracement to the 58.26 highs from
December 2011.
Technical levels for 16h May,
2012:
Metal
|
Support
($/oz)
|
Resistance
($/oz)
|
Gold
|
1 ,529.45
|
1 ,572.06
|
Silver
|
27.104
|
28.557
|
Economic
Calendar:
Date
|
Economic
Indicator
|
Country
|
Actual
|
Forecast
|
Previous
|
Effect
& Remarks
| |||
|
16th May
|
Building Permits
|
US
|
Pending at
6:00pm
|
0.73M
|
0.75M
|
If Actual > Forecast = Good for currency. Annualized number of
new residential building permits issued during the previous
month.
| ||
|
16th May
|
FOMC Meeting Minutes
|
US
|
Pending at
11:30pm
|
NA
|
NA
|
It's a detailed record of the FOMC's most recent meeting,
providing in-depth insights into the economic and financial conditions that
influenced their vote on where to set interest
rates
| ||
|
15th May
|
Core CPI m/m
|
US
|
0.2%
|
0.2%
|
0.2%
|
As Actual = Forecast =No impact for
currency. Not Change in the price of goods and services purchased by
consumers, excluding food and energy
| ||
|
15th May
|
Core Retail Sales m/m
|
US
|
0.1%
|
0.3%
|
0.8%
|
As Actual < Forecast =Not Good for currency. Change in the
total value of sales at the retail level, excluding automobiles has
Decreased.
| ||
Disclaimer:
-
This report contains the opinion of the
author, which is not to be construed as investment advices. The author,
Directors, other employees of RiddiSiddhi Bullions Ltd. and its affiliates
cannot be held responsible for the accuracy of the information presented herein
or for the results of the positions taken based on the opinions expressed above.
The above-mentioned opinions are based on the information, which is believed to
be accurate, and no assurance can be given for the accuracy of the information.
The author, directors and other employees and any affiliates of RSBL cannot be
held responsible for any losses in trading. In no event should the content of
this research report be construed as an express or an implied promise, guarantee
or implication by or from RSBL that the reader or client will profit or the
losses can or will be limited in any manner whatsoever. Past results are no
indications of future performance. Information provided in this report is
intended solely for informative purposes and is obtained from sources believed
to be reliable. The information contained in this report is no way guaranteed.
No guarantee of any kind is implied or possible where projections of future
conditions are attempted. We do not offer any sort of portfolio advisory,
portfolio management or investment advisory services. The reports are only for
information purpose and are not to be construed as investment advices.
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