Wednesday, 16 May 2012

Market Commentary


Ø Gold opened almost unchanged at 1562.50/1563.50 with it gaining quickly after to an intraday high of 1564.25/1565.25. Slowing growth out of china and slower retail sales in the U.S. stifled gold’s gains. Further pressure from the inability of Greece to form a government pushed the metal to an intraday low of 1550/1551 midmorning. Renewed buying interest, alongside gains in equities, had gold recover a little to close the day at 1557.50/1558.50.
Ø Silver also opened flat at 28.37/28.42. A quick gain to its intraday high of 28.41/28.46 was erased as declines in base metals pressed the metal lower. Reaching an intraday low of 27.95/28.00 midmorning, silver found renewed buying interest to take it to its close at 28.06/28.11.
Technical Commentary
Ø Gold continued its steep descent today, closing at 1557. The next target is a full retracement to the December 2011 low of 1522 and there are no strong levels of support ahead of that level. Resistance is from the bottom of the bear channel that was previously acting as support, currently at 1580.
Ø Silver also closed down at 28.06. The next target is the bottom of the bear channel, currently at 27.18. Resistance is at 28.83, the 76.4% Fibonacci retracement of the December to February rally. The Gold-Silver ratio is trading higher at 55.68, which is right where the 76.4% Fibonacci resistance level is. The next target will be a full retracement to the 58.26 highs from December 2011.
Technical levels for 16h May, 2012:

Metal
Support ($/oz)
Resistance ($/oz)
Gold
1 ,529.45
1 ,572.06
Silver
27.104
28.557

Economic Calendar:

Date
Economic Indicator
Country
Actual
Forecast
Previous
Effect & Remarks
16th May
Building Permits
US
Pending at 6:00pm
0.73M
0.75M
If Actual > Forecast = Good for currency. Annualized number of new residential building permits issued during the previous month.
16th May
FOMC Meeting Minutes
US
Pending at 11:30pm
NA
NA
It's a detailed record of the FOMC's most recent meeting, providing in-depth insights into the economic and financial conditions that influenced their vote on where to set interest rates
15th May
Core CPI m/m
US
0.2%
0.2%
0.2%
As Actual = Forecast =No impact for currency. Not Change in the price of goods and services purchased by consumers, excluding food and energy
15th May
Core Retail Sales m/m
US
0.1%
0.3%
0.8%
As Actual < Forecast =Not Good for currency. Change in the total value of sales at the retail level, excluding automobiles has Decreased.

Disclaimer: -
This report contains the opinion of the author, which is not to be construed as investment advices. The author, Directors, other employees of RiddiSiddhi Bullions Ltd. and its affiliates cannot be held responsible for the accuracy of the information presented herein or for the results of the positions taken based on the opinions expressed above. The above-mentioned opinions are based on the information, which is believed to be accurate, and no assurance can be given for the accuracy of the information. The author, directors and other employees and any affiliates of RSBL cannot be held responsible for any losses in trading. In no event should the content of this research report be construed as an express or an implied promise, guarantee or implication by or from RSBL that the reader or client will profit or the losses can or will be limited in any manner whatsoever. Past results are no indications of future performance. Information provided in this report is intended solely for informative purposes and is obtained from sources believed to be reliable. The information contained in this report is no way guaranteed. No guarantee of any kind is implied or possible where projections of future conditions are attempted. We do not offer any sort of portfolio advisory, portfolio management or investment advisory services. The reports are only for information purpose and are not to be construed as investment advices.

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