Wednesday, 23 May 2012

Market Commentary



Ø Gold opened lower at 1580/1581, over gains in the dollar overnight and slipped to its intraday low of 1575.50/1576.50 quickly after. Reversing its losses as equities gained after positive housing data, gold reached its intraday high of 1590.25/1591.25 midmorning. Unable to hold as the EUR declined, gold gave up its gains and closed the day at 1576.50/1577.50.
Ø Suffering the effects of lower base metals and crude overnight, silver opened lower at 28.19/28.24 and quickly dipped to its intraday low of 28.11/28.16 soon after. A turn around in base metals, after housing data, brought back silver buying interest and the metal eventually reached an intraday high of 28.78/28.83 midmorning. As with other commodities, silver gave up its gains to close the day at 28.17/28.22.
Technical Commentary
Ø Gold closed lower today at 1576, around the bottom of our bear channel which comes in at 1574. Resistance is at 1599, close to yesterday’s high and also the 50% retracement of the April to May downtrend. Support is at 1526, the recent low.
Ø Silver closed slightly lower at 28.22, remaining in the middle of its well-entrenched bear channel defined by 26.67 supports and 29.74 resistance. Key support is at the recent low of 26.79 and resistance is at the recent high 28.91. The Gold-Silver ratio is trading lower at 55.65, but remains in a solid uptrend targeting 58.26.
Technical levels for 23rd May, 2012:


Metal
Support ($/oz)
Resistance ($/oz)
Gold
1 ,550.44
1 ,591.25
Silver
27.451
28.723


Economic Calendar:


Date
Economic Indicator
Country
Actual
Forecast
Previous
Effect & Remarks
23rd May
New Home Sales
US
Pending at 7:30pm
335K
328K
If Actual > Forecast = Good for currency. Annualized number of new single-family homes that were sold during the previous month.
22th May
Existing Home Sales
US
4.62M
4.62M
4.48M
As Actual = Forecast =No impact for currency. Annualized number of residential buildings that were sold during the previous month, excluding new construction.
22th May
FOMC Member Lockhart Speaks
US
NA
NA
NA
Factory bookings for long-lasting goods rose 0.3 percent last month after falling 3.9 percent in March, according to the median forecasts of 61 economists surveyed by Bloomberg News before a May 24 Commerce Department report.


Disclaimer: -
This report contains the opinion of the author, which is not to be construed as investment advices. The author, Directors, other employees of RiddiSiddhi Bullions Ltd. and its affiliates cannot be held responsible for the accuracy of the information presented herein or for the results of the positions taken based on the opinions expressed above. The above-mentioned opinions are based on the information, which is believed to be accurate, and no assurance can be given for the accuracy of the information. The author, directors and other employees and any affiliates of RSBL cannot be held responsible for any losses in trading. In no event should the content of this research report be construed as an express or an implied promise, guarantee or implication by or from RSBL that the reader or client will profit or the losses can or will be limited in any manner whatsoever. Past results are no indications of future performance. Information provided in this report is intended solely for informative purposes and is obtained from sources believed to be reliable. The information contained in this report is no way guaranteed. No guarantee of any kind is implied or possible where projections of future conditions are attempted. We do not offer any sort of portfolio advisory, portfolio management or investment advisory services. The reports are only for information purpose and are not to be construed as investment advices.
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