Thursday, 14 June 2012

Market Commentary



Ø Gold opened a little lower at 1610.75/1611.75 and made a quick dip to an intraday low of 1609.25/1610.25. The metal raced higher after poor economic data spurred stronger thoughts of QE3. Gold eventually reached an intraday high of 1624.75/1625.75 early morning before profit taking halted the metal’s climb, taking it to a close of 1618.50/1619.50.
Ø Silver opened lower at 28.76/28.81 alongside lower crude overnight. After a quick dip to its intraday low of 28.73/28.78 after the open, silver gained quickly alongside gold to reach an intraday high of 29.11/29.16 early morning. Range bound for the remainder of the session, silver closed the day on light profit taking at 28.95/29.00.
Technical Commentary
Ø Gold closed slightly higher today at 1618 but continues to trade within a consolidation pattern. Support is at Friday’s low of 1556 and resistance at the June high of 1641. We will need to see a breakout on either side to establish direction; though the general bearish trend for gold remains in place.
Ø Silver also continues to trade sideways, forming a doji in the candlestick charts. The close was 28.95. The low 29’s have provided resistance in the past 3 sessions and support is at Friday’s low of 27.96. Key resistance is at 29.90, June’s high. The Gold-Silver ratio is trading higher at 55.90.
Technical levels for 14th June, 2012:
Metal
Support ($/oz)
Resistance ($/oz)
Gold
1,609.01
1,629.81
Silver
28.453
29.336
Economic Calendar:
Date
Economic Indicator
Country
Actual
Forecast
Previous
Effect & Remarks
14th Jun
Core CPI m/m
US
Pending At 6:00pm
0.2%
0.2%
If Actual > Forecast = Good for currency. Change in the price of goods and services purchased by consumers, excluding food and energy.
14th Jun
Unemployment Claims
US
Pending At 6:00pm
377K
377K
If Actual < Forecast = Good for currency. The number of individuals who filed for unemployment insurance for the first time during the past week.
13th Jun
Core Retail Sales m/m
US
-0.4%
0.1%
0.1%
As Actual < Forecast =Not Good for currency. Change in the total value of sales at the retail level, excluding automobiles has Decreased.
13th Jun
PPI m/m
US
-1.0%
-0.6%
-0.2%
As Actual < Forecast =Not Good for currency. Change in the price of finished goods and services sold by producers have Decreased.
Disclaimer: -
This report contains the opinion of the author, which is not to be construed as investment advices. The author, Directors, other employees of RiddiSiddhi Bullions Ltd. and its affiliates cannot be held responsible for the accuracy of the information presented herein or for the results of the positions taken based on the opinions expressed above. The above-mentioned opinions are based on the information, which is believed to be accurate, and no assurance can be given for the accuracy of the information. The author, directors and other employees and any affiliates of RSBL cannot be held responsible for any losses in trading. In no event should the content of this research report be construed as an express or an implied promise, guarantee or implication by or from RSBL that the reader or client will profit or the losses can or will be limited in any manner whatsoever. Past results are no indications of future performance. Information provided in this report is intended solely for informative purposes and is obtained from sources believed to be reliable. The information contained in this report is no way guaranteed. No guarantee of any kind is implied or possible where projections of future conditions are attempted. We do not offer any sort of portfolio advisory, portfolio management or investment advisory services. The reports are only for information purpose and are not to be construed as investment advices.

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