Friday, 15 June 2012

Market Commentary


Ø Investors continued optimism over Greece had gold open higher at 1620.25/1621.25. Gold quickly gained to an intraday high of 1627.75/1628.75 amid continued speculation of added stimulus after surprising job loss data. Heavy fund selling, however, just ahead of equities opening, quickly took the metal to its intraday low of 1609/1610. Buying interest, renewed by gains in equities, saw the metal recover, ending the day at 1618.75/1619.75.
Ø Silver opened at little lower at 28.86/28.91 and quickly gained to its intraday high of 28.99/29.04 after the jobs data. The metal experienced the same bout of selling as gold and quickly reached an intraday low of 28.18/28.23. Although base metals and crude made solid gains, silver lacked the strength in its recovery as had gold and eventually ended the day at 28.44/28.49.
Technical Commentary
Ø Gold closed slightly higher today at 1619. The technical picture is unchanged – we are currently in a consolidation pattern with support at 1556 and resistance at 1641. The longer term trend has been bearish since the big selloff on February 29th.
Ø Silver closed lower at 28.49, trading sideways within a range of 28 to 29. A break of key resistance at 29.90 will bring in more buyers, while a break to the downside through Friday’s low just under 28 will bring in more sellers. From a short-term perspective, we are neutral, though the longer terms bear trend remains intact. The Gold-Silver ratio had a big up-day and is currently trading at 56.84. It remains in a strong uptrend with support from the trendline at 55.32.
Technical levels for 15th June, 2012:
Metal
Support ($/oz)
Resistance ($/oz)
Gold
1,610.56
1,632.24
Silver
28.062
29.272
Economic Calendar:
Date
Economic Indicator
Country
Actual
Forecast
Previous
Effect & Remarks
15th Jun
Prelim UoM Consumer Sentiment
US
Pending At 7:25pm
77.5
79.3
If Actual > Forecast = Good for currency. Level of a composite index based on surveyed consumers.
14th Jun
Core CPI m/m
US
0.2%
0.2%
0.2%
As Actual = Forecast =No impact for currency. No Change in the price of goods and services purchased by consumers, excluding food and energy.
14th Jun
Unemployment Claims
US
386K
377K
377K
As Actual > Forecast =Not Good for currency. Unemployment Claims has Increased.
Disclaimer: -
This report contains the opinion of the author, which is not to be construed as investment advices. The author, Directors, other employees of RiddiSiddhi Bullions Ltd. and its affiliates cannot be held responsible for the accuracy of the information presented herein or for the results of the positions taken based on the opinions expressed above. The above-mentioned opinions are based on the information, which is believed to be accurate, and no assurance can be given for the accuracy of the information. The author, directors and other employees and any affiliates of RSBL cannot be held responsible for any losses in trading. In no event should the content of this research report be construed as an express or an implied promise, guarantee or implication by or from RSBL that the reader or client will profit or the losses can or will be limited in any manner whatsoever. Past results are no indications of future performance. Information provided in this report is intended solely for informative purposes and is obtained from sources believed to be reliable. The information contained in this report is no way guaranteed. No guarantee of any kind is implied or possible where projections of future conditions are attempted. We do not offer any sort of portfolio advisory, portfolio management or investment advisory services. The reports are only for information purpose and are not to be construed as investment advices.

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