Ø Gold opened lower at 1604.25/1605.25, pushed down by a stronger dollar overnight. We appear to be stuck in the summer doldrums as the metal is experiencing range bound trading in a low volume market as investors wait upon news to give direction. Gold reached an intraday low of 1603.50/1604.50 shortly after the open and gained to an intraday high of 1616.50/1617.50 midmorning. Gold remained near the high end of its range for the remainder of the day as equities made small gains. The metal ended the day at 1613/1614.
Ø Depressed
prices in base metals and crude saw silver open lower at 27.78/27.83 and reached
its intraday low of 27.74/27.79 quickly after. Following a renewal in crude,
silver reached an intraday high of 28.24/28.29 midsession. Light profit taking
took the metal to its close at 28.10/28.15 in quiet trading.
Technical
Commentary
Ø Gold closed nearly unchanged today
at 1613, the 3rd consecutive day of very lackluster trading. The range of 1585
to 1629 continues to hold, and the ADX, a measure of trend, is very low at
11.70.
Ø Silver closed
nearly unchanged at 28.10. Like gold, silver is showing no trend momentum with
ADX well below 20 (currently at 13). We continue to watch the 28.40-level on the
upside and 27 on the downside. The Gold-Silver ratio is trading slightly higher
at 57.46 but remains vulnerable to the downside, with support at 57.00.
Technical levels for 9th Aug,
2012:
Metal
|
Support ($/oz)
|
Resistance ($/oz)
|
Gold
|
1605.55
|
1619.14
|
Silver
|
27.714
|
28.317
|
Economic
Calendar:
Date
|
Economic
Indicator
|
Country
|
Actual
|
Forecast
|
Previous
|
Effect
& Remarks
| ||
9th
Aug
|
Trade
Balance
|
US
|
Pending at 6:00pm
|
-47.4B
|
-48.7B
|
If Actual > Forecast = Good for currency. Difference in value
between imported and exported goods and services during the reported
month.
| ||
9th
Aug
|
Unemployment
Claims
|
US
|
Pending at 6:00pm
|
371K
|
365K
|
If Actual < Forecast = Good for currency. The number of
individuals who filed for unemployment insurance for the first time during the
past week.
| ||
8th
Aug
|
Prelim Unit
Labor Costs q/q
|
US
|
1.7%
|
0.5%
|
1.3%
|
As Actual > Forecast = Good for currency. Annualized change in
the price businesses pay for labor, excluding the farming industry has
Increased.
| ||
8th
Aug
|
Crude Oil
Inventories
|
US
|
-3.7M
|
-0.6M
|
-6.5M
|
As Actual < Forecast = No consistent effect - there are both
inflationary and growth implications. Change in the number of barrels of crude
oil held in inventory by commercial firms during the past
week.
| ||
Disclaimer:
-
This report contains the opinion of the
author, which is not to be construed as investment advices. The author,
Directors, other employees of RiddiSiddhi Bullions Ltd. and its affiliates
cannot be held responsible for the accuracy of the information presented herein
or for the results of the positions taken based on the opinions expressed above.
The above-mentioned opinions are based on the information, which is believed to
be accurate, and no assurance can be given for the accuracy of the information.
The author, directors and other employees and any affiliates of RSBL cannot be
held responsible for any losses in trading. In no event should the content of
this research report be construed as an express or an implied promise, guarantee
or implication by or from RSBL that the reader or client will profit or the
losses can or will be limited in any manner whatsoever. Past results are no
indications of future performance. Information provided in this report is
intended solely for informative purposes and is obtained from sources believed
to be reliable. The information contained in this report is no way guaranteed.
No guarantee of any kind is implied or possible where projections of future
conditions are attempted. We do not offer any sort of portfolio advisory,
portfolio management or investment advisory services. The reports are only for
information purpose and are not to be construed as investment advices.
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