Ø
The gold
market tried to track with physical commodities on the upside today but the
trade was unable to sustain that track throughout the trading session. Sharp
gains in US equities, favorable US scheduled data flows and a risk-on vibe
failed to provide a lift to gold and that suggests the gold trade is still
focused on safe haven or flight to quality issues. The bull camp has to be
discouraged as the failure to see gold sustain early gains today has to be seen
as a negative fundamental signal, especially since the reversal today made the
charts in gold look a little suspect.
Ø
The silver
market showed somewhat impressive initial gains today but in the afternoon trade
the May contract settled back to as much as 41 cents an ounce below the initial
highs. For the bull camp the action today is really troublesome as that clearly
suggests silver isn't currently in a position to benefit from classic physical
commodity market developments. Given the potential deterioration in global
economic conditions into the US sequester, the rise in uncertainty off the
Italian election and the recent concern on the Chinese real estate bubble the
flight to quality crowd seemed to have an edge but prices failed to respond. Now
that economic conditions have improved and silver has also weakened one has to
wonder what condition if any will provide support to silver
prices.
Technical levels
for
6th Mar, 2013:
Metal
|
Support ($/oz)
|
Resistance ($/oz)
|
Gold
|
1572.10
|
1584.67
|
Silver
|
28.503
|
29.003
|
Intraday Levels and view for
Gold:
Sell
positions @ $1583 with 1st target @1571 & 2nd target
@1565 stop at 1587 the upside breakout of 1587 will open the way to 1599 &
1603.
Intraday
Levels and view for Silver:
Sell
positions @ $28.95 with 1st target @ 28.4 & 2nd target
@ 28.2 stop at 29.05 the upside penetration of 29.05 will call for a rebound
towards 29.45 & 29.65.
Economic
Calendar
Date
|
Economic
Indicator
|
Country
|
Actual
|
Forecast
|
Previous
|
Effect
& Remarks
| |
6th Mar
|
ADP Non-Farm Employment Change
|
US
|
Pending at
6:45pm
|
172K
|
192K
|
If Actual > Forecast = Good for currency. Estimated change in
the number of employed people during the previous month, excluding the farming
industry and government
| |
5th Mar
|
ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI
|
US
|
56.0
|
55.0
|
55.2
|
As Actual > Forecast = Good for currency. Level of a diffusion
index based on surveyed purchasing managers, excluding the manufacturing
industry has increased.
| |
Disclaimer:
This report contains the opinion of the
author, which is not to be construed as investment advices. The author,
Directors, other employees of RiddiSiddhi Bullions Ltd. and its affiliates
cannot be held responsible for the accuracy of the information presented herein
or for the results of the positions taken based on the opinions expressed above.
The above-mentioned opinions are based on the information, which is believed to
be accurate, and no assurance can be given for the accuracy of the information.
The author, directors and other employees and any affiliates of RSBL cannot be
held responsible for any losses in trading. In no event should the content of
this research report be construed as an express or an implied promise, guarantee
or implication by or from RSBL that the reader or client will profit or the
losses can or will be limited in any manner whatsoever. Past results are no
indications of future performance. Information provided in this report is
intended solely for informative purposes and is obtained from sources believed
to be reliable. The information contained in this report is no way guaranteed.
No guarantee of any kind is implied or possible where projections of future
conditions are attempted. We do not offer any sort of portfolio advisory,
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information purpose and are not to be construed as investment advices.
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