Thursday, 16 May 2013

Market Commentary


Ø MEM METALS: June gold futures closed down $27.50 an ounce at $1,397.00 today. Prices closed nearer the session low and hit a fresh three-week low today. The key outside markets were again in a bearish posture for the gold market today as the U.S. dollar index was higher and crude oil prices were weaker. The gold bears are in near-term technical control and gained some downside momentum with today's close below the key psychological level of $1,400.00.
Ø July silver futures closed down $0.699 an ounce at $22.68 today. Prices closed nearer the session low, hit a fresh three-week low and closed at a fresh 31-month low close. The key outside markets were bearish for silver again today as the U.S. dollar index was higher and crude oil prices were weaker. Silver bears are in firm overall technical control. Prices are in a seven-month-old downtrend on the daily bar chart.
Technical levels for 16th May, 2013:
Metal
Support ($/oz)
Resistance ($/oz)
Gold
1,374.75
1,429.54
Silver
22.408
23.440

Intraday Levels and view for Gold:
Sell positions @ $1406 with 1st target @1485 & 2nd target @ 1365 stop at 1418. The upside penetration of 1418 will call for a rebound towards 1431 & 1449.
Intraday Levels and view for Silver:
Buy positions @ $22.59 with 1st target @ 23 & 2nd target @ 23.15 Stop at 22.45. The downside penetration of 22.45 will call for 22 & 21.8.
Economic Calendar:
Date
Economic Indicator
Country
Actual
Forecast
Previous
Effect & Remarks
16th May
Unemployment Claims
US
Pending at 7:00pm
332K
323K

If Actual < Forecast = Good for currency. The number of individuals who filed for unemployment insurance for the first time during the past week

16th May
Philly Fed Manufacturing Index
US
Pending at 8:30pm
2.5
1.3

If Actual > Forecast = Good for currency. Level of a diffusion index based on surveyed manufacturers in Philadelphia

15th May
PPI m/m
US
-0.7%
-0.6%
-0.6%

As Actual < Forecast =Not Good for currency. Change in the price of finished goods and services sold by producers have decreased.


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