Ø Gold eased overnight, opening the
session at 1653.00/1654.00, before rising after a disappointing initial jobless
claims number fueled speculation of additional stimulus measures. Sideways trade
for most of the rest of the session until buying interest at the end of our day
took us to an intraday high of 1680.00/1681.00 and a close of
1679.00/1680.00.
Ø
Silver
consolidated overnight, opening unchanged at 31.51/31.56, before climbing on
dollar weakness. The metal moved in line with 0123 equities throughout the day,
peaking at 32.57/32.62 just prior to concluding the session at
32.52/32.57.
Technical
Commentary
Ø Gold made a strong move higher
today, closing at 1679. We have now closed well above the short-term bear
channel, reducing the odds of a false break. Resistance held at 1683, the high
from April 2nd It should be noted that the 1680 level is also the 38.2%
retracement of the Feb-March downtrend. The previous resistance level at 1656
should now provide some support. The next target is 1701, the 50% retracement
level.
Ø Silver played catch-up with gold
today, also closing higher at 32.52 after trading sideways for 5 sessions.
Silver closed well through the short-term downtrend that had been in place since
Feb. 29th. The next resistance is 33.28, the high from April 3rd, and there is
strong support around 31.00. The Gold-Silver ratio is trading lower at 51.74.
Support from the uptrend is around 51.09.
Technical levels for 13th April,
2012:
Metal
|
Support
($/oz)
|
Resistance
($/oz)
|
Gold
|
1,659.36
|
1,687.98
|
Silver
|
31.741
|
32.973
|
Economic
Calendar:
Date
|
Economic
Indicator
|
Country
|
Actual
|
Forecast
|
Previous
|
Effect
& Remarks
| ||||
|
13th April
|
FOMC Member
Raskin Speaks
|
USD
|
Pending at 1:00am
|
|
|
If Federal
Reserve FOMC members vote on where to set the nation's key interest rates and
their public engagements are often used to drop subtle clues regarding future
monetary policy.
| |||
|
13th April
|
Core CPI
m/m
|
USD
|
Pending at 6:00pm
|
0.2%
|
0.1%
|
If Actual >
Forecast = Good for currency. Change in the price of goods and services
purchased by consumers, excluding food and energy.
| |||
|
12th April
|
Trade
Balance
|
USD
|
-46.0B
|
-51.9B
|
-52.6B
|
As Actual > Forecast = Good for
currency.
Difference in value between imported and exported goods
and services during the reported month has
increased.
|
|||
|
12th April
|
Unemployment
Claims
|
USD
|
380K
|
355K
|
357K
|
As Actual > Forecast =Not Good for currency.
The number of individuals who filed for unemployment insurance for the first
time during the past week has increased.
| |||
Disclaimer:
This
report contains the opinion of the author, which is not to be construed as
investment advices. The author, Directors, other employees of RiddiSiddhi
Bullions Ltd. and its affiliates cannot be held responsible for the accuracy of
the information presented herein or for the results of the positions taken based
on the opinions expressed above. The above-mentioned opinions are based on the
information, which is believed to be accurate, and no assurance can be given for
the accuracy of the information. The author, directors and other employees and
any affiliates of RSBL cannot be held responsible for any losses in trading. In
no event should the content of this research report be construed as an express
or an implied promise, guarantee or implication by or from RSBL that the reader
or client will profit or the losses can or will be limited in any manner
whatsoever. Past results are no indications of future performance. Information
provided in this report is intended solely for informative purposes and is
obtained from sources believed to be reliable. The information contained in this
report is no way guaranteed. No guarantee of any kind is implied or possible
where projections of future conditions are attempted. We do not offer any sort
of portfolio advisory, portfolio management or investment advisory services. The
reports are only for information purpose and are not to be construed as
investment advices.
Ø
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